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Rough Notes: Jan 20, 2026

A digest of recent Rough Notes

Here are recent rough notes from the site:

1.
Modern Music Trends Reflect Societal Mood

Modern music is getting sadder and angrier, which is a form of diagnostic about where we are in this societal cycle. You can look at this with a Fourth Turning lens, or choose your perspective, but it is an important long wave, accelerating with geopolitics and AI. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2026/01/19/popular-music-is-getting-sadder-and-angstier

Jan 20 · Permalink →
2.
AI Commercialization Increases Global Risks

AI/AGI have been turned into "normal business", which is profoundly risk-increasing:

1/ ChatGPT i Starting to Look a Lot Like Facebook and Meta https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-01-20/chatgpt-and-openai-are-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-facebook-and-meta

2/ Anthropic CEO Says AI Chip Sales to China Like Selling Nukes to North Korea https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-20/anthropic-ceo-says-selling-advanced-ai-chips-to-china-is-crazy

Jan 20 · Permalink →
3.
Documentary on DeepMind AGI success

Documentary on Google DeepMind and the quest for AGI, has become a surprise success.

WSJ: There’s a Hit Movie Set Deep Inside an AI Lab—and It Will Give You Goosebumps https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/google-deepmind-documentary-youtube-thinking-game-732bfa06?mod=wsjhp_columnists_pos_2

The Thinking Game: Full documentary https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d95J8yzvjbQ

Jan 20 · Permalink →
4.
Data Centers Use Less Cement

One of the (many) supercycle arguments made around the economic ecology of AI data center is that were are in a Cement Supercycle. After all, so goes the argument, we are building many data centers, all of which requires immense amounts of cement, just in time to ;pick up the slack from the decline in China demand.

BUt ... as a recent JPM report points out, data centers aren't all that wrt cement. They only use about a third the cement of comparablly sized CRE.

Jan 19 · Permalink →
5.
Chinese Electric Vehicles Gain UK Market Share

Two pieces on the Chinese takeover of European EV markets caught my eye today:

- The U.S. has functionally exited EV competition, with it going from strategic to orphaned
- China share has soared from 1% to 10% of UK market in three years
- The Temu "Range Rover" clone is among the hottest cars in U.K. roads

Sources:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-01-19/why-chinese-cars-are-a-big-deal-in-the-uk-market
https://www.ft.com/content/7033459b-6dd8-4f46-84e8-bbbd8ec6bd94

Jan 19 · Permalink →