Census data shows early AI gains fading: large-firm adoption slowing, small-firms plateauing, and overall usage well below capex-driven expectations.
If enough people act is if LLMs are intelligent, then they are
In winter California is highly dependent on a few atmospheric river events. In summer these rivers reverse, and the reversing rivers are getting larger.
On p(doom), college requirements, LLM ecologies, and Al Capone
Things to think about: The fractal nature of violence. Why there will be no "next Microsoft" of AI/. Galloping Gertie and the recent North American heat wave
I'm in the middle of a few longer posts, so before those come out, some things I'm reading and thinking about: 1. How Fresh Air Became
The most important paper of all time came out in June of 1951. It changed science. And science is about to change again.
What the rise of skateboarding, the lithium boom, a spate of research paper retractions, and Canadian real estate tell us about the world.
On airports, snow droughts, the rise in global conflicts, and more.
In this post I examine the actuarial structures of various groups—from Finnish 8-year-olds to Congress—and the implications. It includes an interactive tool I designed to let people play with risk models.
When consensus predictions don't pan out, it is always worth noting. That is why it is so striking how little attention it is getting that we had the future of technology dead wrong.
Technology often has unintended consequences that reduce the benefit of the technology itself. I wrote about a variant of this in my posts about Stanley Jevons, but in this note we abstract up a little and talk about revenge effects in more general terms.
